This weekend, we have a PPV card at Vegas. DraftKings has some strong contests for us to win a lot of cash from this week and that I can not wait to chase those huge prizes. The most important GPP is a $15 buy-in and $50k goes to 1st place with a total of $250k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier just tournament for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location cost and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I won my very first seat into it last week and will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers therefore be careful chasing those overly hard. I’ll likely stick to the top GPP this week and throw 100 or so entries at that $50k prize, then I will probably have a couple shots in the Qualifier. I’ll also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a fantastic quantity of drama into money games.
With that said, let’s get to a couple plays I enjoy this week along with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Jon Jones — $9,600
Jones is a lock for my money game lineup this week in his -800 gaming lineup. I will take that free square foot and move on. He must dominate this fight and he can complete it on the feet or the floor. I expect him to score more than 100-points and I am totally fine with paying $9.6k for that. When I am making lineups, I would like to try to get at least 10x from each fighter. Together with Jones being 9.6k, I want at least 96 points from him. That is the way I look at it. If this was a 3-round fight and I didn’t think Jones could find a finish then perhaps he just scores 80-85 DK points in a win, and at $9.6k I wouldn’t want that. However, this is a potential 5-round fight, and I really do expect Jones to dominate, so that cost is fine with me. For GPPs, I think you can get away from Jon Jones since he’ll be very highly owned. If he’s 50% owned by the area and he simply scores 85-90 DK points, then that will kill half the field since that wouldn’t be sufficient points to put him on that $50k lineup.
GPP drama of the week — Ben Askren — $9,000
If Ben Askren wins this fight it will be out of his wrestling. He is one of the greatest wrestlers in MMA history and now he is finally getting a chance in the UFC after dominating every organization he’s been in. He will not want to strike for extended against Robbie Lawler, therefore I expect him to take takedowns right away and string wrestle until he gets them. Once he gets high control there isn’t going to become a lot Robbie can do on the ground and he should take a beating so long as it is on the mat. On DraftKings, every takedown is 5 points compared to 0.5 points for a substantial strike. A man like Askren can go out there and receive 10 takedowns in 15-minutes and that is what makes him a fantastic play if he can come up with the victory.
Underdog play of the week — Diego Sanchez — $7,100
This really isn’t the Diego Sanchez of old, but I think he has what it takes to beat Mickey Gall. On the toes, the volume from Sanchez should win it there so long as he doesn’t get pumped out. The chin of Diego is exactly what I worry about most nowadays, but Gall is not much of a striker and I really don’t see him getting knockout. In addition, I don’t know that Gall can get takedowns, and I believe Sanchez are the more likely guy to be on top if the fight hits the ground. There is A submission the best chance at a win of Gall here and Sanchez hasn’t been filed. We have to have underdogs within our DK lineups and also at $7.1k Diego allows us to cover up for all those guys like Jon Jones or even Ben Askren. If he can grind out a decision win here I presume he can get 10x that salary and when we can get a win against him in that inexpensive salary, then I think we’ll be in line for this $50k win when we hit our other five spots.
Fade of the week — Anthony Smith ($6,600)
I might wind up using each fighter since I’m making so many lineups this week, however Anthony Smith is the guy I want the least of. I try to acquire a favored for you guys as my fade of the week but I don’t believe there are any need to fade favorites this week. Instead, I’m going with the 1 fighter I do not think stands a chance. I think a fluke KO is the only path to victory for Smith and that he really doesn’t possess the 1 punch/kick power it would take to pull off. I would be shocked when Smith pulled off the upset this week and if I had been making 20 or less lineups, then he would be an easy fade.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, as well as all of my pick predictions, you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 58-37 for +177.62u (+$17,762) because May 19th on Premium Plays)

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