Arizona Diamondbacks

O/U: 75.5
Baseball Prospectus projection: 82
FanGraphs projection: 79
Losing Paul Goldschmidt at a trade with the Cardinals hurts, as does seeing A.J. Pollock walk off in free agency, but the pitching staff is solid enough to create the Diamondbacks commendable.
At least, on paper. Given the unlikelihood of contending, along with the plantation system’s requirement for replenishment, a selloff in the trade deadline needs to be a consideration, which would impact the win total.
Pick: Under
Atlanta Braves
O/U: 84.5
Baseball Prospectus projection: 85
Projection: 82
Ronald Acu??a and Ozzie Albies are a year older, and better. Josh Donaldson is on board, and Freddie Freeman is eternally underrated. The pitching is good, too! However,… that the National League East is going to be a much tougher division this season. Stay away from this bet, but…
Pick: Under
Baltimore Orioles
O/U: 59.5
Baseball Prospectus projection: 57
Projection: 62
To cash the over, the Orioles might have to acquire 13 more games than they did a year ago. This is a group whose greatest players are Renato Nu??ez, Cedric Mullins and Jonathan Villar. Plus they perform in a division with possibly the two best teams in baseball, the Red Sox and Yankees. It’s going to be ugly.
Pick: Under
Boston Red Sox
O/U: 95.5
Baseball Prospectus projection: 90
Projection: 96
All nine players that were on the field at the conclusion of the World Series come back together with the Red Sox, whose most prominent departures were Craig Kimbrel and Joe Kelly from the bullpen. Could Boston repeat as world champions with what remains in the relief corps? Maybe not. But can they make another run at 100-plus wins? Absolutely.
Pick: Over

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