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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with the bookies after beating Roy Nelson, but at age 38 his skills will probably not be advancing. Mitrione gets the superior technique, durability and power standing which should see him with a reasonable benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to acquire down the fight but it will be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative beginning from both guys before Mitrione starts amassing strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this struggle after a substantial injury layoff. In fact he’s had only one victory because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks over his condition the fight appears to be lined too wide. Ngannou clearly has huge stopping power and will be quite dangerous on the toes . If Cain has lost a step or comes from appearing slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to opponents but he’s open to shooting shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou can keep the fight standing and discover an early KO. Cain will want to avoid the early storm and look to wear the larger man out with takedowns and cage pressure. We like the underdog in what looks to be a 50/50 battle going in. However, the winner of this struggle is likely to seem dominant.
Bet = Ngannou at 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to win 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s inventory is at an all time low after his recent KO but his conduct towards the top was impressive. In this matchup he will function as superior technical boxer with both the duration and speed advantage. Felder has a tendency to mirror his opponent but he will need to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It is possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the paths to victory have been in Vick’s favour. Felder takes a close range fight to utilise his very best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick into a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the lineup on Vick to cruise to victory with a medical choice.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 2.73 Units.
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