The Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series is at Martinsville Speedway this weekend, also with Kyle Busch winning at Phoenix and Fontana within the previous two weeks, he’s been set up as a heavy favorite for the STP 500 in”The Paperclip”–and for good reason: Rowdy hasn’t finished outside the top 5 in this track because the 2014 season, and he’s led a combined 582 laps over the previous four (and 937 within the last six). Obviously, whenever you have the favorite at +150 to triumph, so there’s some fantastic value in betting others in case that guy has issues during the race.

Last weekend in Car Club Speedway my favourite bets went 2-0, bringing my yearly record to 5-3. I’d Brad Keselowski to finish top 3, and his day went south , so that was screwed from the start.

My Favourite Bets for Martinsville
Martin Truex, Jr.. Sirius XM Paint Scheme Martinsville 2019
Photo Credit: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Pictures
Martin Truex, Jr.. Top 3 Finish (+200) — The races in Martinsville are usually predictable: we find the same faces up front again and again, and we do not see Martin Truex, Jr. in victory lane. Where we do find him, though, is close enough to acquire in case something goes wrong with the leader. Over the last three races in”The Paperclip,” Truex has posted finishes of 3rd, 4th, and 2nd, and even though he starts back in 8th for today’s STP 500, he’s got one hell of a race car under him to get into the front. The 19 Toyota ranked #1 at 10-, 15-, 20-, and 30-lap average during the final practice session here on Saturday, and there is going to be lots of long runs throughout the race. Truex will shine during those. If you study this week’s ranks by the Fantasy Racing On line algorithm, Truex is a very close 4th supporting Logano, and if you take a look at current trends by pole sitters in the spring Martinsville race, I would give that advantage to Truex.

Chris Buescher (+105) over Daniel Hemric — I’m really surprised Chris Buescher is not becoming more adore this weekend. This #37 team hasn’t finished worse than 18th since the Daytona 500, plus they’ve got a great starting place for today’s STP 500 (12th). Meanwhile, the Hemric will begin from back in 28th, and has a propensity to hit the wall more frequently than not. We’ve got 500 laps to race in the present STP 500, and to be honest, I’m not sure he finishes. On the other hand, Buescher has finished 13th, 23rd, 21st, and 11th in his past four Martinsville starts, and he’s running better than he has likely ever ran. This one is a no brainer for me.

Martinsville Race Day Betting Odds for the STP 500
Kyle Busch 2.25/1 )
Martin Truex, Jr. 4.5/1

Brad Keselowski 5/1
Joey Logano 5/1
Denny Hamlin 8/1
Clint Bowyer 12/1
Kevin Harvick 12/1
Ryan Blaney 15/1
Aric Almirola 15/1
Chase Elliott 25/1
Kurt Busch 30/1
Jimmie Johnson 40/1
Kyle Larson 50/1
Erik Jones 60/1
Austin Dillon 80/1
Alex Bowman 80/1
Daniel Surez 80/1
Ryan Newman 80/1
Field 32/1

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