Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

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Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race to the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

In accordance with betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick are the favorites in +200, followed closely by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Employing benefits and 2018 loop data, we handicap the race and also provide gambling pick to a championship.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have made the right to battle for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015), Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have all notched one championship in their professions, while Logano is attempting to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still alive, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this year. Logano scored two wins himselfbut awakened 25 top-10 finishes to earn his shot at Homestead.

Employing historical loop info from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to win the 2018 Dragon Energy NASCAR Cup Series championshipgame.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a handful of additional MENCS tracks at 1.5 miles in length, there really aren’t any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead offers banking, which enables drivers to conduct lines, together with the lane the quickest.

The track surface itself is also very abrasive, which wears out tires and makes rubber a massive advantage.

With tire wear creating cars hard to drive and innovative banking allowing motorists to select different lines, passing is simpler here than at most other 1.5-mile paths which are overly reliant on aero for speed and so create follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I chose to examine the past four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Applying four races may seem a little arbitrary, but that amount was picked on by me for two particular reasons. First, 2014 was the very first year which NASCAR went to the current playoff format where drivers advance through the game’s playoff until four stay for the title at Homestead.